Year: 2018

Will Cape Town be the first city to run out of water?

Cape Town, home to Table Mountain, African penguins, sunshine and sea, is a world-renowned tourist destination. But it could also become famous for being the first major city in the world to run out of water.

Most recent projections suggest the its water could run out as early as March. The crisis has been caused by three years of very low rainfall, coupled with increasing consumption by a growing population.

The local government is racing to address the situation, with desalination plants to make sea water drinkable, groundwater collection projects, and water recycling programmes.

Meanwhile Cape Town’s four million residents are being urged to conserve water and use no more 87 litres (19 gallons) a day. Car washing and filling up swimming pools has been banned. And the visiting Indian cricket team were told to limit their post-match showers to two minutes.

Man filling flagon from tap

Such water-related problems are not confined to Cape Town, of course.

Nearly 850 million people globally lack access to safe drinking water, says the World Health Organisation, and droughts are increasing.

So it seems incredible that we still waste so much of this essential natural resource. In developing and emerging countries, up to 80% of water is lost through leakages, according to German environmental consultancy GIZ. Even in some areas of the US, up to 50% of water trickles away due to ageing infrastructure.

A growing number of technology companies are focusing their work on water management – applying “smart” solutions to water challenges.

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For example, French company CityTaps is on a mission to streamline water access in urban homes with its smart water meters linked to an internet-based management system.

The company is first targeting poor homes in urban areas and its system, CTSuite, is currently being trialled in Niger.

Users buy “water credits” via their mobile phones and a smart meter dispenses only as much water as has been paid for. Users receive alerts when their credit balance gets low, and if they don’t top up the account, the meter automatically switches off the flow.

Engineer installing water meter
Image captionThe CityTaps smart water meter is fairly easy to install

The utility can track water usage remotely in near real-time via the internet. A sudden spike in water outflow and a change in pressure, measured by “internet of things” sensors, can then help identify leaks across the network.

Water companies are also using drones and satellites to help spot leaks, and in some circumstances even divining rods – despite scientific doubts, some firms say they do work.

“The internet of things offers new avenues for technological innovation in the water field, mostly by providing real-time data that – we hope – can be used to help utilities become ever more efficient and high-performing,” says Gregoire Landel, chief executive of CityTaps.

Better water management also helps save on the electricity and chemicals required to produce drinkable water.

Woman and child filling bucket with water
Image captionFamilies in Niger now have access to metered water they pay for via mobile phone

Meanwhile, other companies are using technology to harvest water from new sources.

US-based WaterSeer, for example, is developing a device capable of collecting water from the air.

An internal fan draws air into an underground collection chamber where the vapour condenses, making use of the earth’s cooler temperatures. Solar or electricity grid-powered coolers also help the condensation process.

The company says water can be produced with “less than a 100 watts” of electricity – the power requirement of an old-fashioned light bulb.

Man gardening next to WaterSeer water condenser
Image captionWaterSeer’s water condenser prototype is currently being tested and developed

“Individuals and businesses will pave the way for innovative solutions, as they will be able to move and adopt a series of them quicker than large utilities that are sometimes mired in regulatory constraints and rigid decision-making cultures,” says Nancy Curtis, a founding partner of WaterSeer.

“However, utilities offer the opportunity to make large-scale impacts on replenishing depleting water supplies.”

A number of water-restricted municipalities in the US are exploring how WaterSeer devices could be used to improve water security, the company says. But the device is still being tested in the field, so these are early days.

Media captionHow fog nets are catching water for the slums in Lima

“A community of 500 would save 40 million US gallons (150m litres; 33m gallons) of water or more each year, reducing stress on traditional surface and underground sources,” argues Ms Curtis.

Technology may have its place in helping us use water more efficiently, but it is unlikely to have much impact on those without any access to water in the first place, says Alexandros Makarigakis of Unesco’s international hydrological programme (IHP).

“Smart water systems cannot be expected to have much impact regarding provision of access for the unconnected. [They] are more effective in the urban context,” he says.

This is echoed by Vincent Casey, senior manager at the charity WaterAid.

Maasai women carrying water in Kenya
Image captionIn many rural areas around the world people have to walk miles to fetch water

“The technology to connect people to a water supply has been around since ancient Egypt. It’s not a technical problem,” he says.

More important is how water supplies are organised, he argues, which is an issue primarily for governments, with support from the private sector.

“The priority is mobilising resources and paying sufficient attention to the management arrangement to keep people connected,” says Mr Casey.

That’s not to say WaterAid eschews tech completely. It has successfully used mobile app mWater to monitor water access and existing networks.

For those with no direct-to-home supply, services like Grundfos’ “water ATM”, which enables people to access water from a local dispenser using a pre-paid card, are also proving useful.

But there is a sense that much of this technology is merely tinkering at the edges. The overarching issue is the potentially devastating effect of global warming on water availability and how we, collectively, endeavour to tackle it.

Source: 

 BBC.COM

Zimbabwe: Forbes – Masiyiwa Now Worth $1.7billion

ZIMBABWEAN telecoms, media and financial services tycoon, Strive Masiyiwa, is now worth US$1.7 billion and ranked 14th on Forbes’ list of African billionaires.

According to the US-based business magazine, Masiyiwa becomes Zimbabwe’s first billionaire and the country’s only representative on its list of Africa’s super rich.

Masiyiwa, a globally respected business leader and philanthropist, is executive chairman of the Econet Group which was founded in 1993 with the launch of mobile phone company Econet Wireless Zimbabwe after a five-year legal battle against the Harare government.

His telecoms venture has since expanded internationally with operations now spanning Africa as well as in Europe, South America, North America and the East Asia Pacific Rim.

Listed on the local stock market, Econet Wireless Zimbabwe is one of the country’s biggest corporations with interests now extending beyond telecoms to financial services, insurance, e-commerce, renewable energy, education, Coca-Cola bottling, hospitality and payment gateway solutions.

Another unit of the Econet Group, Liquid Telecom Group, successfully raised $700 million in a bond and term loan financing package from international financiers.

In addition, Masiyiwa has since moved into media with pay television firm Kwese TV, which is already operating in several African countries.

Masiyiwa serves on a number of international boards, including Unilever, Rockefeller Foundation, the Council on Foreign Relations’ Global Advisory Board, the Africa Progress Panel and the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board for Sustainable Energy.

Along with his wife Tsitsi, the telecoms tycoon also runs the Higher Life Foundation which pays the school fees of over 40,000 students across the Primary, High school and Tertiary education levels.

Meanwhile, at the top of Forbes list of Africa’s super rich is Nigerian Aliko Dangote who is worth $12.2 billion dollars followed by South Africa’s Nicky Oppenheimer who is said to be worth US$7.7 billion.

Only two women make the 23-name list of Africa’s billionaires with Angola’s Isabel Dos Santos in ninth place with a net-worth of $2.7 billion.

Nigerian oil entrepreneur is the other female entrant on the list Folorunsho Alakija at US$1.6 billion.

Source: Allafrica

Ethiopia: Projects to Develop Livestock, Fishery Sector

The Ethiopian government has recently signed 470 million USD loan and donation agreement with the World Bank, of which 170 million USD loan goes to livestock and fishery resource development.

The Project aimed at transforming the sector through developing livestock and fishery resources, educating low income farmers and pastoralists towards animal husbandry, and upgrading the status of small livestock cooperatives, Ministry of Livestock and Fishery Project Coordinator Dr. Tomas Cherinet told The Ethiopian Herald.

According to Dr. Tomas, the Project works in four value chain components- dairy, poultry, fishery and red meat.

“The Project is ready to assist all actors at the same time. Primarily cooperatives or common interest group would be created in poultry and dairy. As they are working in an organized manner, they will able to assist others.”

Domestic dairy cattle yield from 1.5 to 2.0 liters of milk a day which is below the expected average. Hence, the Project has planned to increase the yield from 8 to 12 liters per day by crossbreeding domesticated cattle with exotic high yielding species.

“The Project is the first in its kind. The previous projects were handled many issues in one. But this Project is focusing on animal issues alone and the government is also dedicated to transform the sector.

As states have potential livestock and fishery resources, the Project will open animal health laboratories, forage production and distribution centers and develop livestock extension, Dr Tomas remarked.

As to him, the Project which aimed at benefiting 1.2 million farmers and pastorialists could not cover all woredas of the country. Hence, it would operate in some selected 58 woredas of the six states, Amhara, Oromia, Tigray, SNNPs, Benishangul and Gambella and embraces 1784 kebeles.

According to the Manager, the Project would be fully operational when the allocated loan is ratified by the Council of Ministers and House of Peoples’ Representatives and released. As a tentative schedule, the Project is set to be launched in June.

The Ministry is working aggressively for Project’s implementation. In states, project coordination units will be opened to operate accordingly.

The Project will be applicable within five years time and is expected to bring differences in the sector: transforming peoples’ nutrition culture, and augmenting livestock product export.

Source: Girmachew Gashaw, allafrica.com

Uganda: World’s Longest Heated Crude Oil Pipeline Almost Complete

The East African Crude Oil Pipeline is has already been completed and it holds great opportunities businesses can benefit from.

Among the partners that played a role to make the construction successful include China National Offshore Oil Corporation Uganda, Tullow Oil Uganda, Total E&P Uganda and American firm Gulf Interstate Engineering.

Other development partners are Uganda National Oil Company and the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation.

The export pipeline will serve the East African Community (EAC) states as an integral component to boost trade.

The firm has invited local companies dealing in engineering, procurement and construction to grab the opportunities that will be available after the conclusion of the project. They will be able to invest in there sectors and enhance their growth.

With the final investment set to be made on the pipeline, Gulf Interstate Engineering has invited firms to a conference to discuss various business opportunities they can invest in to bolster the economy of the country.

The crude oil export pipeline from the Albertine Graben to Tanga Port in Tanzania will as well be improved.

The 1445km long and 24-inch diameter pipeline is set to be the world’s longest heated crude oil pipeline, which will effectively serve the country’s waxy oil in nature.

Source: allafrica.com

Will Zimbabwe’s reforms go far enough?

Iearly November, Patrick Chinamasa, a veteran member of Zimbabwe’s ruling Zanu-PF party, was staring into the political abyss.

Sacked as finance minister by Robert Mugabe after delivering a budget deemed insufficiently radical, Chinamasa faced an extended period in the wilderness. By 7 December, much to his surprise and that of others, the 70-year-old found himself back in parliament, delivering the first keenly awaited budget of the post-Mugabe era following the coup that brought Emmerson Mnangagwa to power.

For Zimbabwean businesses, foreign investors, and international financial institutions alike, the budget was the first major test of whether the new administration would deliver on the promise of Mnangagwa’s bold inaugural speech and break with the disastrous economic policies of the past. Keen to capitalise on rare international goodwill, Chinamasa promised to cut spending, re-engage with international lenders and re-invigorate the flagging private sector by rolling back indigenisation.

While the plans have been welcomed as a positive start, analysts say that Mnangagwa’s government will have to deliver a far more ambitious reform agenda if it is to command the respect of the lenders whose capital it requires to reverse decades of economic stagnation. 

“Chinamasa is a reformist, he’s pragmatic with the economic situation and realistic about how bad it is,” says Judith Tyson, research fellow at the Overseas Development Institute (ODI).

“In terms of economic reform their approach is quite positive, and when you look at the budget they’re pushing for the same things that Mugabe had vetoed. The big problem is persuading people to give them finance – it’s going to be tough,” she adds.

Foremost among those yet to be convinced is the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Harare has a long and troubled  history with the Washington-based lender, which has refused to extend additional credit in recent years following Zimbabwe’s accumulation of billions of dollars of international debts.

Until now, the government has struggled to clear its arrears, and has resisted conditions laid down by the Fund, including compensation for white farmers dispossessed in the controversial land reform programme of the early 2000s.

While Mnangagwa broached the thorny subject of white farmer compensation and promised to safeguard the interests of foreign investors during a well-received inaugural speech, the IMF is likely to demand concrete action on dozens of metrics before seriously mulling extensive financial support.

“They’ve been very hard-nosed about it. Chinamasa has a good relationship with the IMF – much more so than Mnangagwa – but they’ve really been keeping his nose to the grindstone and saying no, not until this has been delivered,” says the ODI’s Tyson. “The trouble is, that creates a catch-22 where even if the government has the best intentions, they need the finance to do it. If you don’t give it to them you create failure immediately.”

Wage bill

One of the Fund’s most enduring demands – progress on which is essential to ease the finance logjam – is action on a public sector wage bill estimated to account for over 90% of the budget. For decades, that wage bill has included overly generous salaries for well-connected Zanu-PF cronies, comfort payments to the police and army to ensure loyalty, and cash for thousands of infamous ‘ghost workers’ who draw salaries without performing any functions. 

In his budgetary speech, Chinamasa took aim by slashing 3,700 youth officers, reducing the number of official vehicles and cutting costly foreign travel. He also pledged to more than halve a 10% of GDP budget deficit and roll back indigenisation, the process by which 51% stakes in foreign-owned enterprises are handed over to black Zimbabweans – often the politically well-connected. Nevertheless, many see plans to phase out public workers over the age of 65 and the opening of a voluntary retirement scheme as insufficient.

“It’s not going to make much difference. The numbers I looked at a year ago suggested you need a 40% fall in wages, and I would suggest these measures would take just a couple of percentage points off the wage bill,” says Charles Robertson, global chief economist at investment bank Renaissance Capital.

Those hoping for more radical action from Chinamasa may be discouraged by his chequered history. While his hands were undoubtedly tied by Mugabe and the hardline factions of Zanu-PF who ultimately had him sacked in November, Chinamasa’s previous four-year stint as finance minister from 2013 was marked by continued stagnation and a botched attempt at introducing bond notes as an alternative currency.

“It’s hard to know how much of this was his responsibility, but since 2008 the government spent all of the gains from rising commodity prices on public wages, didn’t invest enough in infrastructure investment and when commodities prices collapsed they didn’t cut wages,” says Robertson. “They introduced bond notes to try and fill the gap, and they’ve lost perhaps 40% of their value relative to the dollar.”

Committed to reform?

Whether or not Chinamasa is committed to a more pragmatic economic stance, the fate of his fragile reform agenda in Zimbabwe’s febrile post-coup atmosphere is likely to lie elsewhere. Any attempts to cut army wages – or limit the military’s access to the patronage systems and natural resources on which it has long gorged – are likely to be fiercely resisted given its key role in bringing Mnangagwa to power. Mineral resources reform, including reasserting civilian control of diamond mine ownership, looks distant, as does reform of a crucial agricultural sector mired in inefficient smallholder ownership.   

Meanwhile, the president himself – a regime loyalist through decades of political repression and economic stagnation – disappointed analysts with his appointment of a continuity cabinet and a spurning of opposition voices. With such a mixed picture, many believe next year’s elections could prove a watershed moment for the country’s political and economic future and a key metric for the IMF.

“If they have good elections next year and allow the opposition to campaign in a fair way and it’s well conducted, that would be a significant signal for international financial institutions and private investors,” says Tyson. “In the meantime they need to be enacting reform and won’t see much finance until they do.”

Nevertheless, there remains residual confidence that Chinamasa can help push through basic reforms which could go a long way to rescuing a country which, despite decades of economic abuse, retains undoubted potential.

“Improve the business environment, sort the budget and current account out and Zimbabwe’s electricity, literacy and proximity to South Africa all suggest it should boom,” says Robertson. “It’s a struggle to keep that country down. You have to work hard.”

Source: David Thomas, African Business Magazine

Nigeria: Electricity Supply to Rise As NNPC Restores Escravos Gas Pipeline

Abuja — The country’s electricity supply situation is set to improve as the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC, yesterday, said it had concluded repair works on the Escravos-Lagos Pipeline, ELP, and gas supply had been restored to the affected power plants.

The NNPC, in a statement by its Group General Manager, Group Public Affairs Division, Mr. Ndu Ughamadu, said the speedy repair of the pipeline followed the directive by the Group Managing Director, Mr. Maikanti Baru, to carry out an assessment of the damage with a view to promptly resolving same.

He said: “Escravos-Lagos Pipeline, ELP, which came down last week as a result of a fire incident has been restored and gas supply to customers on the line including power generating companies resumed.”

He stated that with the restoration of the ELP and resumption of gas supply, the affected power plants with a combined generating capacity of 1,143 megawatts, MW, will resume power generation.

Ughamadu identified the affected power plants as: Egbin Power Plant in Lagos State; Olorunshogo Power Plant, PEL Olorunshogo and Paras Power Plant in Ogun State and Omotosho Power Plant in Ondo State.

He noted that a section of the ELP at Abakila in Ondo State, had went up in flames on January 2, 2018 as a result of bush fire, affecting gas supply to customers in Ondo, Ogun and Lagos states with subsequent shutdown of a number of power plants.

The NNPC spokesperson explained that the 36-inch Escravos to Lagos Pipeline System, ELPS, is a natural gas pipeline built in 1989 to supply gas from Escravos in the Niger Delta to various consumption utilization areas.

Source: Michael Eboh , allafica.com

Angola: Signs of a new trajectory

After years of economic mismanagement a new, if restrained, sense of optimism has gripped Angola as the actions of the country’s fledgling president start to suggest that change may be possible.

Upon taking the helm of Africa’s second-largest oil producer, João Lourençosurprised many by immediately starting to dismantle the patronage networks of his predecessor, Eduardo dos Santos. Making it clear he is no puppet, he has also broken with a number of long-standing policies, especially with regard to economic and foreign policy.

A real change of direction would be a welcome in a country reeling in the wake of years of kleptocracy and suffering from high levels of public debt, unemployment and inflation. Yet politics and economics often go hand in hand in Angola and the real significance of Lourenço’s changes is not yet apparent.

“I think its unclear at present to what extent these are just moves against the dos Santos clique or if they are more substantive moves to diversify and open up the economy,” says Claudia Gastrow, Angola expert at the University of Johannesburg.

Reforms

A number of economic reforms and bold political manoeuvres suggest a change of course for Angola. Dismissals have come thick and fast since Lourenço entered office in late September, starting with the chief of police and the head of the intelligence service, and culminating with the dismissal of the former president’s daughter, Isabel dos Santos, as head of the national oil company, Sonangol.

Many of the new faces hail from the barracks. Lourenço served as defence minister and is heavily associated with the military. The overhaul, however, has not been absolute and his cabinet reflects the delicate tightrope Lourenço must walk between old dos Santos loyalists and his own cadres.

Perhaps his real focus is on the economy, as Lourenço himself has suggested. In the run-up to the election, he described himself to a local journalist not as the Gorbachev of Angola but as its Deng Xiaoping – an economic rather than a political reformer.

This statement certainly bears some weight in the current context. Lourenço has opened up the Angolan business space in a variety of ways that contrast starkly with Angola’s former isolationist policies. For example, Angola will allow a fourth mobile operator to enter its profitable telecoms sector.

“We are increasing competition to improve the service, and will work on pricing and quality of service,” says telecoms minister José Carvalho da Rocha.

Movicel and Unitel are currently the largest providers and both are partly state-owned. In another liberalising move, Lourenço quickly visited Jacob Zuma in South Africa in order to bolster bilateral cooperation, and the two countries have agreed to scrap visas for all passport holders.

“In the past there was almost a protectionist stance regarding South Africa and this has shifted,” says South African political analyst Paula Cristina Roque. “It’s unheard of and it’s going to bring incredible opportunities by increasing the possibility of regional trade.” Another inhibitor to inclusive Angolan growth is corruption, something that Lourenço took a hard line on during his electoral campaign.

In one of his boldest policy moves to date, the president has told Angolans they risk prosecution if they do not repatriate funds illegally held abroad within the coming months. Speaking at the end of a conference on corruption held by  his party, the ruling MPLA, he said a grace period would be announced during which money could be repatriated and invested in the Angolan economy with no questions asked – a thinly veiled warning to those who have plundered the country’s assets.

These reforms suggest a new economic path for Angola. It remains to be seen whether Lourenço can gather enough support from his party to properly implement them, or indeed if they are indicative of a long-term strategy rather than minor calibrations.

“If he tried to shake up the system too much he would lose his support base. I imagine it would be extremely difficult to totally abandon a system that has been steeped in corruption and patrimonialism, so I think there is a real concern that the initial symbolic move might eventually be replaced by another entrenched system,” says Gastrow.

Can oil save Angola?

After the dismissal of Isabel dos Santos, Angolans are looking to the state oil company, Sonangol, under its new head, Carlos Saturnino, to save the country from its economic woes. The World Bank estimates that public debt stood at 59.2% of GDP at the end of 2016. Net international reserves have deceased by 20.4% since the beginning of 2017.

Inflation now stands at around 27%. As oil accounts for a third of economic output in Angola and over 95% of exports it is clear the sector needs a revamp, irrespective of rising oil prices. According to the major oil companies, the Angolan oil sector is being devastated by delays in project approvals at Sonangol and a backlog of payments owed.

Roque cites the planned Lobito refinery as one such project – construction has been delayed for years due to irregularities in contracts and financing disagreements. The refinery would work wonders for downstream production in Angola, and it is yet to be seen how Saturnino will tackle the issue.

Sonangol owes huge sums to its biggest lenders – the Bank of China, Standard Bank and Standard Chartered – as well as $3bn to majors, contractors and traders. The government itself lent Sonangol $6.9bn in 2016, a sum procured from the China Development Bank.

That said, Lourenço remains optimistic about the company’s potential and described it as a “golden goose”, instructing the new board to “take good care of her.” His recent pragmatism suggests progress for the sector.

Roque points out that under Eduardo dos Santos, the French major Total was partially excluded from the local market due to strains with the French government. Total and Sonangol have now signed new project pipeline agreements to develop upstream and downstream projects, and this move seems to indicate Lourenço’s growing wish to open all areas of Angola to new players and investments.

“He is trying to signal there is an alternative,” says Gastrow. Whether or not any of these recent developments will come to define Lourenço’s administration will depend on how genuine the reforms are and how much his party allows. For now, the signs are good.

Source: Tom Collins, African Business Magazine

Kenya’s economy shows resilience

Confidence has been returning to Kenyan markets, with foreign investors taking the lead since the inauguration of Uhuru Kenyatta as president for a disputed second five-year term in November.

Although President Kenyatta won the October election rerun, which had been mandated by the Supreme Court, almost half of the voting public did not show up for the poll on the instructions of his rival, Raila Odinga, who boycotted the second poll. President Kenyatta had won the election held in August, but it was deemed to have been conducted improperly by the Supreme Court.

President Kenyatta may be forced to spend his second term in office trying to win over those who obeyed the other man. Probably in light of this, after his inauguration he quickly signed into law the County Allocation of Revenue Amendment Bill, which empowered the Treasury to disburse funds to the country’s 47 counties. Delay in release of the funds had been hampering the work of the devolved administrations in the counties.

But there are other problems he will have to contend with. Odinga plans to swear himself in as an alternative president. A planned oath-taking in December was shelved after pressure from local and international stakeholders. Such actions by the opposition are a headache President Kenyatta may have to contend with for his entire second term and almost certainly for all of 2018.

Renewed threat of secession

Unfortunately, President Kenyatta has ruled out dialogue with the opposition. He could come around on this, but the opposition may not be similarly obliging. The renewed threat of seccession in the coastal areas, which are also strongholds of the opposition, is another thorn in the president’s side. President Kenyatta will have a hard task changing sentiment in this regard.

Set for take-off

The economy should move faster in 2018 after slowing due to the impact of the prolonged election process on supply and demand and the effects of drought in the first half of the year.

Despite these troubles, Kenya managed to hold steady. And it maintained a stable exchange rate throughout the prolonged electioneering period, World Bank economist Allen Dennis remarked with admiration in December. This resilience is likely to keep investor sentiment positive in 2018.

Adewale Okunrinboye, FX specialist at Ecobank Transnational, believes growth in 2018 will be hinged on improvements in agricultural output (25% of GDP) as better rainfall drives a recovery from drought in the first half of 2017.

“Outside agriculture, growth prospects revolve around Kenya’s ability to unlock gains from improving transport links and construction of the SGR [standard gauge railway] extension”, he adds.

At a presentation in December, the governor of the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK), Patrick Njoroge, shed more light on this, asserting that Kenya’s SGR would not only hasten the transportation of freight offloaded from the ports to warehouses but also reduce costs by about 50%.

Ecobank believes that even though growth will probably accelerate in 2018, it is likely to be subdued and perhaps come out at about 5.2%. This could be improved if reforms on the growth-stifling interest rate caps are carried out. Financial sector GDP expanded at its slowest pace in six years in 2017 because of the caps.

And then there is oil. Production in the two blocks in Turkana County could start at about 2,000 barrels per day in 2018. Considering how little oil may be produced and the challenging logistics required to transport it by road and rail until a pipeline is constructed, its effect on economic growth is not likely to be significant.

Debt concerns

Monetary policy should be easier in 2018. “A high drought-induced base in the first half of 2017 implies that inflation is likely to decelerate strongly in the first half of 2018”, says Okunrinboye of Ecobank.

Consequently, the CBK will probably cut its benchmark interest rate from 10% at end-2017. However, there is a complication for the CBK in this regard. “Given the rate cap in place, such a move is likely to induce further bank demand for government securities, which has driven a compression in short-dated yields in 2017 despite the ‘tight’ monetary stance by the CBK,” says Okunrinboye.

This a scenario the CBK would be keen to avoid, so a rate move may be dependent on how much progress is made with the hoped-for legislative amendment of the interest rate cap law.

On the fiscal front, Kenya’s debt burden is concerning. It is expected to be almost 60% of GDP in 2017, with debt servicing expected to climb to about 35% of revenue, and likely higher in coming years, as the authorities plan to borrow even more. For instance, in late 2017, the authorities asked for bids for a proposed $2bn eurobond in early 2018.

With warnings coming from the World Bank, IMF, rating agencies and others, the authorities may do well to take heed.

Source: Rafiq Raji, African Business Magazine

Uganda’s Investment Decision On U.S.$200M Pipeline Expected in 2018

Uganda is set to land two mega-million dealings in the course of the New Year that will arguably transform its economy. A crude oil refinery worth $500 million and oil export pipeline worth in the region of $200 million are the proposed projects for the sub-Saharan country that has already set its equity in making the project a success.

It is informed that the projects will cost the government a mammoth amount to be in the area of close to $7.5 billion.

The East African country is still I the search for an architectural designer, and as well an investor to inject the funds to ease the burden, which will as well set-up the phased 60,000 barrels daily refinery in a sought to be public-private partnership.

In return the African country will retain a 40% stake in the refinery, which is worth a cut for the state.

Two parties seem to be interested in the project and are believed to be on board already. There ongoing talks between the Intra-continental Asset Holdings venture that includes Yaatra Ventures LLC and General Electric (GE) Africa from America and Saipem SpA from Italy, and the DongSong venture from Asian country and powerhouse, China. The negotiations are to find a potential investor.

The refinery is a delicate project and the suitable investor would be needed to fulfill the passion of the government.

For the pipeline, the National Pipeline Company (NPC) is in check of the modalities. The subsidiary of the Uganda National Oil Company (Unoc) has been mandated to oversee and handle the government’s commercial interests as far as the petroleum sector is concerned.

The Energy and Finance Ministries have inspected the project and given a green light for it. The two projects have been approved avidly and will set to commence their construction in the near future.

Total E&P, the French company is monitoring the 1,445km pipeline which will have the capacity to feed neighbouring countries with oil.

The final investment decision on the pipeline is expected in the first quarter of 2018, while the engineering, procurement and construction contract will most likely be awarded in late 2018 or early 2019.

Liberia: Maritime Opens Modern Training Facility

A modern maritime training facility has berthed in Liberia with a promise to address capital flight associated with overseas training of the manpower needs of the maritime industry.

The sate-of-the art training facility is situated in Marshall, lower Margibi County and boasts of modern training equipment that meets the requisite needs of maritime practitioners in line with the requirements of the global maritime watchdog, the International Maritime Organization (IMO).

Named the John G. Bestman Maritime Training Institute, the facility is situated on 17.3 acres of land and overlooks the Farmington and Du Rivers as well as the Atlantic Ocean.

Performing the dedicatory ceremony of the institute, President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf described the occasion as the day “we have all been waiting for.”

She thanked members of the 53rd National Legislature for renegotiating the Concession Agreement between the Government of the Republic of Liberia and the Liberia International Ship and Corporate Registry (LISCR) in 2015.

The partnership with LISCR, according to her, has led to the transformation of a modern Liberia Maritime Training Institute (LMTI). President Sirleaf also recognized the significant contributions of Gerald Cooper, Beyan Cooper and Mrs. Leonard Dennis – who served the Maritime dutifully for 43 years.

She acknowledged that Mrs. Dennis remained committed and devoted in spite of some of the most difficult moments the Bureau of Maritime faced. President Sirleaf thanked stakeholders of the Liberia Maritime Authority and Liberia Maritime Training Institute for putting in place a rigorous recruiting process, which led to the meticulous recruitment of 20 males and 4 females.

She expressed satisfaction with the professionalism that the recruits would be imbued with upon completion of their two-year training process. She pointed out that the selection of trainees from Liberia’s 15 counties was a demonstration of the inclusiveness of the recruitment process.

Opening of the newly constructed Maritime Training Institute in Marshall by Prez. Sirleaf

Following the ribbon-cutting President Sirleaf unveiled the plaque naming the facility in honor of former Finance Minister and Governor of the then National Bank of Liberia (now Central Bank of Liberia), John G. Bestman saying briefly, “John, we owe you; it is honorable to give honor to whom it is due.”

Earlier, Abraham Abi Zaidenberg, Managing Director of LISCR, recalled its involvement in the shipping sector with Liberia about 18 years ago and informed the gathering that there has been a 30% improvement in cargo shipment to the United States.

In separate remarks, Commissioner James Kollie, Board Chair, Cllr. Juah Lawson, and Senate Committee Chairperson Dallas Gueh of Rivercess lauded President Sirleaf for her foresight in ensuring the project came to fruition. They acknowledged the significant interventions of the various actors who worked diligently towards the realization of the institute.

It can be recalled that in 2016, LISCR – based in Virginia, U.S.A., assumed management of the Liberia Management Training Institute. With the first batch of 24 engineering cadets having commenced training on August 1, 2017, he said the LMTI can look ahead to becoming a truly world-class institution of excellence.

Source: By David A. Yates, allafrica.com